Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 1120.333240 1282.118752 1466.127355 1692.390385 1965.153683 2285.957021 2695.659160
2025-03-09 882.990014 1089.387688 1348.445140 1703.422797 2186.756432 2836.514704 3802.328679
2025-03-16 751.897551 970.170317 1261.029158 1687.755441 2317.166058 3244.794661 4784.489068
2025-03-23 674.535952 902.764464 1222.316907 1719.133528 2505.053372 3764.029000 6084.076666
2025-03-30 592.317666 814.300453 1136.733926 1660.564073 2535.544157 4033.945577 7046.596050
2025-04-06 528.437281 743.058177 1064.653918 1607.310156 2558.175499 4287.624483 8059.615453
2025-04-13 474.169899 679.433766 995.168342 1545.456911 2550.639489 4479.402602 9012.154148
2025-04-20 452.210774 662.468294 996.059130 1600.502701 2762.199131 5145.791941 11316.621300
2025-04-27 426.214033 636.067989 977.837834 1618.058567 2904.356025 5706.744244 13644.521907
2025-05-04 404.910083 614.939552 965.597014 1643.857516 3067.137274 6360.218570 16603.140571
2025-05-11 384.713835 593.596162 950.320055 1661.022228 3214.463632 7022.385210 20024.909577
2025-05-18 373.688038 586.637278 959.457224 1727.064431 3484.129560 8089.435582 25690.946657
2025-05-25 360.425277 575.470818 961.292788 1782.194555 3751.537158 9287.117339 33223.130413
2025-06-01 343.144589 555.810480 945.431948 1798.320688 3930.721285 10315.664398 41350.979998
2025-06-08 323.844454 530.761858 916.441916 1780.916998 4019.076403 11097.006227 49336.849190
2025-06-15 311.884736 518.176890 910.481836 1814.617410 4255.076415 12505.714378 63550.618503
2025-06-22 291.253118 487.768992 865.907817 1751.875267 4203.844960 12839.591745 71109.358768
2025-06-29 273.030139 460.694263 825.839497 1694.877235 4158.437246 13188.273385 79693.546361
2025-07-06 255.487495 433.813411 784.048101 1628.717563 4072.732681 13345.668577 87202.205775
2025-07-13 250.531073 430.928972 792.131759 1687.593273 4392.727860 15447.608710 120536.177671
2025-07-20 242.430983 421.268996 784.865765 1706.378644 4589.551842 17125.793235 156643.032120
2025-07-27 235.564627 413.572826 781.138426 1733.991357 4825.688005 19185.323229 210303.097360
2025-08-03 228.423833 404.828339 774.306098 1752.367357 5036.168064 21288.417885 281465.071634